When the Dam Breaks: How Trump’s Loyalists Will Turn...And Why That Should Give You Hope
Trump looks untouchable today...but his dam of loyalty is already leaking. (And breaking new about the U.S. Attorney refusing to bring charges against Letitia James...makes this even more critical)
***Just as I was preparing to hit “publish,” breaking news hit the airwaves:
“Donald Trump may fire a U.S. Attorney over their refusal to charge Letitia James.”
That instantly made what you’re about to read even more urgent…more relevant…and more critical. Because this isn’t just about corruption…it’s about a man willing to bulldoze the law itself to protect his ego.
And it proves…once again, why the cracks in his so-called “loyalty dam” are spreading faster than anyone admits.
When the Dam Breaks: How Trump’s Loyalists Will Turn…And Why That Should Give You Hope
Trump looks untouchable today…but his dam of loyalty is already leaking.
The Jack Hopkins Now Newsletter #561: Friday, September 19th, 2025.
Stop Pretending He’s Untouchable
You’ve been fed a steady diet of fear.
Turn on the TV…scroll your feed…overhear your neighbor…and you’ll hear the same whispered refrain: “Trump is unstoppable.”
They talk like he’s some god-king…immune to gravity…invincible to scandal… untouchable by law. They point to his hold over the Republican Party…his grip on right-wing media…the cult-like loyalty of his base.
And they tell you resistance is futile.
That’s a lie.
Authoritarians look invincible right up until the moment they collapse. History is littered with men who strutted across the stage…surrounded by roaring crowds…hailed as inevitable…only to be abandoned…betrayed…and discarded by the very people who once swore allegiance.
Trump is no different. His loyalists are not carved in stone. They’re held in place by fear, money, and ambition. And those are the most brittle bonds of all.
The cracks are already there. And when the dam breaks, it won’t just trickle…it’ll flood.
This article is about showing you how, why, and when those defections come… and why that knowledge should give you the one thing Trump wants you to lose: hope.
Human Nature: The Weak Link in Every Authoritarian Chain
Let’s get brutally honest.
Politicians don’t care about the Constitution. Media personalities don’t care about truth. Billion-dollar influencers don’t care about your kids…your town…your paycheck.
They care about one thing: themselves.
Survival.
Reputation.
Money.
That’s it. Strip away the speeches…the posturing…the crocodile tears…and what you’re left with is naked self-preservation.
So when people ask, “Will Republicans in Congress turn on Trump when he crosses the line?” they’re asking the wrong question.
The right question is: “When will loyalty to Trump cost them more than betraying him?”
Because that’s the day the knives come out.
It always happens. Always.
The Odds on the Table
Let’s put numbers to it…because numbers cut through spin like a buzzsaw.
Near-term (today, while Trump looks strong):
Defections are almost nonexistent. Odds? 5–10%. Fear of his base keeps everyone in line.Mid-crisis (when unconstitutional actions spark real backlash):
Odds rise to 20–30%. Once blood spills, or chaos spills onto Main Street, insiders calculate differently. The base shrinks, the middle recoils, and loyalty becomes radioactive.Long-term (when Trump weakens — scandal, age, legal collapse, health):
Odds soar past 50%. At that point, self-preservation flips. Staying loyal becomes the bigger liability. That’s when opportunists scramble to rewrite history and “courageously” break ranks.
This isn’t guesswork. It’s human behavior — as predictable as water flowing downhill.
Scenario One: The Scandal Detonation
Picture this.
A whistleblower leaks documents showing Trump and his cronies siphoned healthcare funds meant for veterans and rural hospitals into their private accounts.
Or an audio tape surfaces of Trump mocking his own supporters…calling them “suckers” behind closed doors.
Unlike the hundreds of scandals shrugged off before, this one cuts deep. Not because it’s “illegal.” Not because it’s “immoral.” But because it feels like betrayal to the very people who saw him as their champion.
That’s when things move fast.
Media fracture: Tucker Carlson…ever the opportunist…smells blood. He positions himself as the brave truth-teller who “saw this coming.” He reframes it: “I was never blindly loyal. I warned you.”
Political cover: A handful of Senate Republicans seize the moment. They issue carefully worded statements…opening the door for others to follow.
Cascading collapse: Once the dam breaks…opportunists race to the exits. Loyalty becomes toxic overnight.
Odds? Medium. It takes a scandal visceral enough to pierce the cult bubble…but history tells us it only takes one.
Scenario Two: The Overreach Backfire
Now imagine this.
Trump invokes emergency powers to crush nationwide protests. The National Guard floods the streets. Shots are fired. Blood is spilled. And the images beam live into every living room in America.
This isn’t politics anymore. This is tyranny in plain sight.
That’s when you hear Joe Rogan open his podcast with something like:
“This isn’t about left or right. This is about whether we want to live in a free country or under a dictator.”
It hits millions of listeners like a thunderclap. Rogan’s gift is timing…he knows when to flip, when to declare he’s “not with the herd.” And when he does, millions follow.
Meanwhile…parents…veterans…moderates…people outside the hardcore base…recoil in horror.
Institutional pushback follows:
Military brass quietly resist unlawful orders. GOP governors distance themselves. Courts step in.
Authoritarian strongmen always miscalculate how much force the public will tolerate.
That overreach is often the fatal misstep.
Odds? Higher. Because overreach isn’t hypothetical with Trump. It’s a matter of time.
Scenario Three: The Rival Rise
This one is the most likely…and the most dangerous.
Trump ages. His legal troubles pile up. His health falters.
And into the vacuum steps a new figure…slicker…younger…media-savvy…promising all the grievance and rage of Trumpism but without the baggage.
Maybe it’s a governor. Maybe it’s a senator. Maybe it’s Tucker Carlson himself.
The script is always the same:
Trial balloon: Carlson or another influencer floats the line: “The movement is bigger than one man.”
Gradual migration: Rogan hedges. He praises Trump’s “impact” but shifts attention to the new figure. The audience follows…because they want the brand, not the man.
Political realignment: Republicans in Congress quietly pivot. Their loyalty wasn’t loyalty. It was a lease…and the rent is overdue.
Odds? Very high. Almost every authoritarian movement eventually produces a successor narrative.
Why This Should Make You Hopeful
Now, maybe you’re thinking: “Great. So they’ll only turn when it’s safe. That doesn’t help me now.”
Wrong.
It helps you right now because it means Trump’s power isn’t absolute. It’s fragile. It’s contingent. It’s temporary.
Every act of resistance…every truth spoken…every refusal to bow accelerates the day when his loyalists calculate differently.
History proves it.
Nixon looked untouchable until the tape dropped. Then even Barry Goldwater told him it was over.
McCarthy terrorized America with loyalty tests until Joseph Welch’s famous line …“Have you no sense of decency, sir?”…shattered the spell.
Dictators from Mussolini to Ceausescu fell not because of the opposition alone… but because insiders smelled weakness and bolted.
The cracks are coming. Your job is to widen them.
Your Role in the Coming Turn
This isn’t a spectator sport.
Here’s how you accelerate defections:
Refuse silence. Speak the truth daily. Every unchallenged lie strengthens the dam. Every voiced truth weakens it.
Pressure institutions. Call…write…protest…demand. Force politicians to weigh loyalty against their own survival.
Support alternatives. Boost voices who prepare the ground for post-Trump populism. Don’t let the rival rise catch you flat-footed.
Model resilience. Despair is contagious. So is hope. Your refusal to drown in fear gives others permission to rise.
Think of it like buying stock before a crash. When the market of loyalty collapses…you want to be holding shares in truth…resilience…and freedom.
The Dam Will Break
Here’s the bottom line.
Trump is not a god. He’s a man. And men who rule by fear and lies always fall the same way:
Alone. Abandoned. Betrayed by the very loyalists who once cheered the loudest.
The only question is when.
Near-term…the odds are low. Mid-crisis…they rise. Long-term…they’re inevitable.
That’s not speculation. That’s human behavior. That’s history. That’s the iron law of authoritarianism.
So hold fast. Build your resilience. Speak your truth. Prepare for the turn.
Because when the dam breaks…and it will…you’ll want to be standing on high ground… ready to help rebuild…while his so-called loyalists scramble for dry land.
So hold fast. Build your resilience. Speak your truth. Prepare for the turn.
Because when the dam breaks…and it will…you’ll want to be standing on high ground…ready to help rebuild…while his so-called loyalists scramble for dry land.
The Final Word: Say It Plain
Enough dancing around it. Enough polite analysis. Enough hedging.
Donald Trump is not misunderstood. He is not a flawed patriot. He is not even a fighter for the common man.
He is a fraud. A parasite. A conman who would torch this country to cinders if it meant one more cheer…one more headline…one more dollar in his pocket.
Every day he struts across a stage bellowing about loyalty…America bleeds. Every minute he screams about strength, he proves how weak he is…a man so fragile he cannot stand dissent…so brittle he cannot abide truth.
He mocks the people who worship him. He siphons money from the poorest towns to pad his gaudy empire. He promises salvation and delivers chaos.
And when he’s cornered…when the lies collapse and the walls close in…he will throw every last loyalist to the wolves. He has no loyalty. No honor. No love for this nation.
Donald Trump is rot in a red tie.
The Cost of His Cult
Look around at what he’s done:
Families split in two…unable to share a meal without breaking into war.
Patriotism warped into a weapon…the flag waved as camouflage for betrayal.
Doctors, nurses, scientists smeared because truth threatened his ego.
Violence cheered…mobs stoked…blood spilled…followed by cowardly denial.
This is not leadership. This is vandalism. This is a man smashing democracy’s foundation with a sledgehammer…grinning as the cracks spread.
And he enjoys it. He feeds on the wreckage like a scavenger bird circling a battlefield.
Why He Wants You Hopeless
Why the constant screaming? The endless lies? The threats?
Because he knows the day you stop believing he’s invincible…the whole illusion collapses.
His power isn’t strength. It’s your despair.
That’s why he wants you exhausted. Silent. Convinced nothing ever changes.
Hopeless people don’t resist. Hopeless people drown quietly.
But you are not hopeless. You are not broken. You are not alone.
Burn His Myth to Ashes
This is the moment to stop mincing words.
Donald Trump is an enemy of freedom.
Donald Trump is an enemy of truth.
Donald Trump is an enemy of the very people he pretends to fight for.
And the one thing that terrifies him is the day enough Americans look him in the eye and say:
“We see you. We see the grift. We see the lies. We see the weakness hiding behind the bluster. And we are done.”
That day is coming. It is inevitable. Because frauds can bully and bluster for years… but they cannot outrun history forever.
The dam will break. The loyalists will turn. The empire of lies will collapse.
And when it does…Trump won’t be remembered as a savior or a king. He’ll be remembered as he truly is:
A small…selfish man who tried to drown a nation…and instead drowned himself.
I’ll be back soon. You know this. Always.
Best,
-Jack
P.S. If this fired you up…good. That’s the point.
But remember: If you’ve ever wondered whether paid subscriptions matter…let me make it simple: it’s not just support. It’s flood insurance for democracy.
Join the ones who refuse to drown.
I have seen this coming for a while. I and numerous others will have a major celebration when it happens. Oh, before I forget, we will see the wrecking ball destroying his stupid and wasteful ballroom and Rose Garden modification. I can't wait!
Agree with the theory just hope he doesn't destroy parts of the government that will be difficult to replace like CDC, FDA. If we can keep it together I think the midterms might be the catalyst for the rats to jump ship. They are setting themselves up to lose big and we have to make that happen.